wiki_z: NorvigLaws

Peter Norvig is a bright fellow and a good writer; see http://norvig.com for some fine reading. Particularly enlightening are:

Norvig's Law --- "Any technology that surpasses 50% penetration will never double again (in any number of months)." (see TheCancerIdeology (19 May 1999), LoomingDisaster (6 Aug 2001), BubbleBusters (6 Feb 2002), ... )
Teach Yourself Programming in Ten Years --- a scathing critique of the instant-expertise fallacy, along with some smart suggestions for how to really learn to develop software (see TenThousandHours (20 Sep 2001), HardestPossible (2 Mar 2003), ... )
The Gettysburg Powerpoint Presentation --- simple, brilliant parody (see TufteThoughts (18 Sep 2000), ... )

And there's also much thoughtful technical commentary on computer science and AI among Norvig's pages. Worth studying ...