Think Better - Three Keys

How to add appropriately semi-quantitative "thinking tools" to the analytic arsenal? What components are most vital? Three candidates:

... all of which are founded upon applied psychology and epistemology and mathematics. Glimpses of good thinking appear in Tetlock ("Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?") and Wohlstetter ("Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision") and Allison/Zelikow ("Essence of Decision") and Gigerenzer and others ...

What else is needed? ... hmmmm, maybe creativity and openness and humility?

^z - 2019-06-05